They “Fix” Horse Races, Don’t They?

Very little has been written about actual horse race RESULT manipulation. Conversely a lot has been written about individuals accused of manipulating an individual race horse, normally in an effort to improve the horses performance.. Over or illegal medications get most of the press. These are two very different subjects. What follows is what I know to be truths regarding race result manipulation and manipulation of individual horses.

Are horse race’s fixed? Yes some are.
How many are fixed? More than you may think!
As a horseplayers, how can we wager and expect to win if the race is fixed? You can not win a race that is “fixed”.

I have been very fortunate to have spent many hours on the subject of race result fixing with some of the best “minds” in the horse wagering business. I have had the privilege of discussing the issue of result fixing with them. Here is what I have learned from them as well as my personal experiences with race result “fixing”. Trainers, jockeys, horse owners,and track personnel, are understandably unwilling to discuss the topic.

How are race results fixed? Jockeys fix most races.

Here is how it is done… The jockey colony at most race tracks is a very close knit group. Smaller and mid size tracks are the most often victims of race result manipulation. Large tracks are not immune however.

Often as many as 5 or more jockeys in a given race will agree, long before the race, that the favorite and the second choice will not “hit the board” in a particular race. Jockeys normally make two wagers. They purchase win tickets on the horse, or sometimes two horses that they know will be “allowed ‘ to win the race. The reason two horses are bet to win is because they realize something could go wrong with one horse or the other. One may “take a bad step” and not be able to complete the race, unseat the jockey, etc. Jockeys as you know, are not allowed to make wagers themselves. Family or friends make the wagers for them. Again this is a very close group. Sometimes they place their wagers at OTB’s or thru the internet but most often in person, at the track, at the wagering machines located thru out the track. Most are $20.00-$50.00 win wagers placed many times over. You maybe able to spot this type of race result manipulation in the inequities on the odds board with the morning line estimate. A horse listed as 10=1 on the ML that is sitting at 5-2 may be jockey money. It may not be. I will tell you how to tell the difference a bit later.

They also place trifecta wagers on the same race. Again using the auto machines, the trifecta ticket is often “boxed” leaving the favorite and the second choice off the ticket. Occasionally the horse(s) that have been bet to win are keyed in the trifecta but the preferred wager is the trifecta box. With the favorite and second choice OFF of the trifecta tickets. In normal wagering pools, 90% of the trifecta tickets will have the 1st and/or 2nd choice horses on the trifecta ticket. The other 10% of the trifecta tickets that do not include the favorite or second choice are the people betting favorite numbers, birthdays, zip codes, etc. and sometimes, jockeys!

A $2.00 trifecta that pays $200.00 with the favorite and second choice “out” is simply, race result manipulation.

Exacta “will pays” as well as daily double will pays are shown on the monitors at the track. Trifecta “will pays” are not shown on the track monitors,, More recently the superfecta has also become a victim of result manipulation as the superfecta will pays are not available on the track monitors. The post time favorite and second choice are often boxed in or stuck behind horses and do not hit the board. We at the Whitley Group watch dozens of replays daily, not for the troubled start or bad trip that’s available to anyone that purchases the Form, but for the trifecta that pays much less than it should with the favorite out. It is time consuming but we believe worth the effort. We wait anxiously for the horse or horses that were very short price at post time and were not allowed to run. We bet these horse next time out and make our clients aware the race they are exiting is suspect.

This is how we do it. Loran, a valued Whitley Group partner, may find three to five races per week that the trifecta payouts are out of line! After watching the replays Loran then brings the suspect race to my attention for my evaluation. An average of four races each week are “red flagged” as race result manipulation. This is a large number of races possibly being fixed. A lot of people lost a lot of money! There is no way I know of to be privy to this race result scandal prior to post time. If you happen to bet one of theses races your probably going to lose. We at The Whitley Group will let you know what race was suspect, which horses were not allowed to run, and when they are going to run again.

Next time I will tell you how, when, and where individual horses performances are manipulated and how we can profit from it.

Sorry its not in DRF “FORMULATOR” trainer stats.

Horse Race Bets

Happy New Year from the Whitley Girls! We are often asked what type of bets we recommend our clients make. We focus mainly on win, exacta and trifecta wagers when placing horse race bets. The temptation of pick three, four, and pick six wagers are something we try to discourage our clients from making. The Whitley Group wagers are based on inside information or our own information we have collected. Simply put, if we don’t know anything that is not found in the past performances we do no wager on the race. The “guaranteed” pools of many pick four and pick six pools are the currant rage at many large race tracks. Lottery mentality or a major financial score is the motivator.

Placing Win Wagers in Horse Race Bets

Betting a horse to win has many advantages. The odds to win are the deciding factor in all our win wagers. We recommend “dutch” wagering when placing horse race bets. Dutch wagering is the wagering of two or more horses to win in the same race. Our clients are provided two horses to consider in the race we are recommending making a horse race bet. These horses will always have two traits. First we know something about the horse that the betting public doesn’t and both horses must have odds of at least 8-1 or more with two minutes till post. We have never had four, let alone six of these races in a row!

Placing Exacta wagers in Horse Race Bets

Exacta horse race bets are very popular at most race tracks. The exacta pools often rival the win pools at some race tracks. Exacta wagers we recommend are based on the following. We maintain extensive track profiles of the second place runners at all major and mid size tracks. Horses being used in the bottom of exactas are the horses that fit the currant profile of the race track. Primarily pace focused, the likely second place finisher profile changes drastically with distance,surface,and class. The profile of the horse most likely to finish second also changes many times thru out the year. The most likely second place horse in January maiden races does not fit the profile of a second place finisher in July maiden races. Most exacta horse race bets placed are simply the two horses the fan “likes” the most. This simply does not work. Statistically the post time favorite will be included in eighty percent of all exacta wagers. The Whitley Group exacta wagers focus on the false favorite that does not fit the profile of the second place finisher. When you can wager two horses on top, the same two we have win wagers on both at 8-1 or more and leave the post time favorite out of the exacta the exacta payoffs are substantial.

Trifecta Wagers in Horse Race Bets

Trifecta wagering is also recommended to our clients. The trifecta pools contain large amounts of uneducated money. Most of us know people that play birthdays, area codes, and other ridiculous methods for trifecta horse race bets. The Whitley Group recommends the trifecta wagers be placed as follows. Key both horses we have recommended as win wagers with the horses listed in the bottom of exacta wagers with the same horses in the third position. The track profiles that have proven reliable in predicting the second place finishers often include the third place finisher as well. We know of no reliable track profile in determining the likely third place horse. Some clients use the “all” button for the third position in their trifecta horse race bets.A trifecta wager that keys a horse at 8-1 or more and does not include the favorite is preferred.

Horse Betting Opportunities for Today’s Horse Player

Horse Betting Value

Today anyone wishing to gamble their money has a wide menu of gambling options. Casinos are here to stay. Sport betting ,football betting specifically, has an untold number of participants. Horse betting remains the choice of professional gamblers. Casinos are required by law to make customers aware of the edge the casino has in all the games they offer. Football bettors are faced with even money payoffs if they win, 5% vigor when they lose,and point spreads that make the football gambler a long term loser. Horse betting is para mutual which means “among us”. The race track has no interest in how much you win or lose. The casino does. The race track takes their money from the top of all betting pools and is interested only in the total amount wagered.

Horse Betting Opportunities

Today more than any at other time does the professional horse player have the tools necessary to make profits investing in horse betting. The casinos/racetracks are the latest additions to the pro horseplayers success with his horse betting. Most “raceinos” as they are affectionately called, are built on the existing grounds of horse tracks. They have become very popular for several reasons. First casinos do not allow minors. Racetracks do. I think the idea is that one parent can stay with the kids and bet on the horse races while the other goes to the attached casino. With no babysitter to pay that’s more money for mom to put in the slot machines. The other parent staying with the children can lose their money betting on the horses using favorite numbers or favorite colors or which horse looks the prettiest. Betting a game they no absolutely nothing about. Now that’s family fun! Remember to win at horse betting, you need to only be better at horse betting than the others at the track. I think you can do it.

Horse Betting Today

Today all horseplayers should embrace this time of simulcast horse racing, racinos, and on-line account wagering services. Never before has the professional had the opportunities that we have today. Horse racing in the U.S. and many other parts of the world,is alive and well. The modern horse player must continue to change his horse betting as the industry changes. This is no different than other business. Successful business people, regardless of the business they are in must constantly change to take advantage of new opportunities.  Horse betting today is nothing like what your grandfather taught you. To win at horse betting today you must know something the others at the track do not know. You should know for instance the casino influenced race track crowds are at their peak on weekends. Friday and Saturday night and Sunday afternoon. The best races to bet will be the middle to later parts of the race card. Any earlier they are at the slot machines in the casinos and by the last few races most have lost their money and gone home.

Horse Betting and the Professional

Most of the negatives we hear today about horse betting are from losing horseplayers. They often complain of “short “fields. I guess they have gotten so good at picking winners in 6 horse fields they need more challenge at prefer 12 horses? 4-1 is the same if 6 horses are running or 12. The other often heard complaint is the number of races carded for most racing days. The professionals I know seldom make more than 5 or 6 wagers per day and with the opportunities of simulcast,there is never a day without 6-10 excellent horse bets. The demise of many horse players and other sport bettors is they make too many wagers.The demise of the casino patron is walking in the place.

Online Horse Wagering

The Pros and Cons of Online Horse Wagering

I am often asked if we at The Whitley Group use an online horse wagering service and which ones we recommend. The correct answer is yes, we do place some wagers through several online horse wager services. I recommend to our clients that wager on line to take advantage of current promotions being offered. Some on line wagering services have offers that match new customer deposits up to $250.00. The theory is of course that when you do become a customer you will lose you money and the matching deposit!

THE ADVANTAGES OF ONLINE HORSE WAGERING

Convenience and promotions are the only two reasons to consider using an on line wagering service. Convenience has its pit falls and I will cover a few of the most common. Today’s world of simulcast is a land mine for the horseplayers bank roll. Those of you that that are track bias fans, or Beyer speed figure followers our even the trainer patters published so boldly these days, will probably go through your matching deposit quickly if you try to wagering at distant race tracks using the same information everyone at the track has.

THE DISADVANTAGE OF USING AN ONLINE HORSE WAGERING SERVICE

Most online horse wagering or account wagering horseplayers simply make too many wagers. They often jump from race track to race track influenced by television “talent” that give their options on several races going off in the next few minutes using the same “past performances” you have. Remember these are employees of the wagering service and are required to give “expert ” options on all races scheduled during their shift. They simply do not show a flat bet profit and honestly I couldn’t either. To show a profit at horse racing, on line or at the track use simply must know something about the horse you intend to wager on the others at the track, or wagering thru on line horse wagering accounts do not know.

What Makes Us the Horse Racing Experts

We use in formation not found in the “past performances”. The focus at The Whitley Group is based on a two-part approach. The first is to consider the race horse as a living, breathing animal that like all animals, humans included, are influenced by many outside forces that include things like barometric pressure, moon phases, and hormone changes. The second and vitally important aspect of our handicapping process includes examining the morning line favorite and second or third betting choice. You simply can’t make money betting short priced horses. When we have non-published information on a horse and reason to believe the favorite will not run as expected do we consider a wager on line or at the track. Often times your handicapping may have been excellent and your 8-1 pick runs a great race but ultimately is beaten by a solid favorite. Never bet on the favorite and never bet against a solid favorite.

WAGERING HORSE RACES ONLINE

The really great news about online horse wagering is that selective, dedicated horse players are literally at the mercy of the on line account wagering services. Pro players can pick and choose those very select opportunities that we horse players wait for to arise. The horse racing online service is required by law to offer the same betting menu and to pay the same payouts the track does. Professionals wait patiently for the public to load up on a false favorite or the rain to begin to fall on a turf course. It happens every day and winning thru online horse wagering racing profits can explode and there is nothing the online wagering service can do to change that!